• BUSINESS
    • FINANCE
    • LEGAL
    • RETAIL & CONSUMER
    • AUTOS & TRANSPORTATION
    • HEALTHCARE & PHARMACEUTICALS
    • MEDIA & TELECOM
    • AEROSPACE AND DEFENSE
    • ENERGY
  • MARKETS
    • EUROPEAN MARKETS
    • ASIAN MARKETS
    • U.S. MARKETS
    • COMMODITIES
    • EMERGING MARKETS
    • DEALS
    • RATES & BONDS
  • WORLD
    • UNITED STATES
    • EUROPE
    • UNITED KINGDOM
    • ASIA PACIFIC
    • MIDDLE EAST
    • AFRICA
    • CHINA
    • INDIA
    • JAPAN
    • AMERICAS
    • FRANCE
    • GERMANY
  • POLITICS
    • GOVERNMENT
    • UNITED STATES
    • US SUPREME COURT
  • TECH
    • ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE
    • CYBERSECURITY
    • SPACE
    • DISRUPTED
  • COMMENTARY
  • BREAKINGVIEWS
    • BREAKINGVIEWS PREDICTIONS
  • MONEY
    • WEALTH
    • FUNDS
    • ETFS
  • LIFE
    • LIFESTYLE
    • SPORTS
    • SCIENCE
  • SECTORS
    • ENERGY
    • HEALTHCARE
    • MEDIA & TELECOM
    • SUSTAINABILITY
    • ENVIRONMENT
    • RETAIL & CONSUMER
    • AUTOS & TRANSPORTATION
    • AEROSPACE AND DEFENSE
FinanceTime
  • August 21st, 2026

FinanceTimeFinancetime

  • BUSINESS
    • FINANCE
    • LEGAL
    • RETAIL & CONSUMER
    • AUTOS & TRANSPORTATION
    • HEALTHCARE & PHARMACEUTICALS
    • MEDIA & TELECOM
    • AEROSPACE AND DEFENSE
    • ENERGY
  • MARKETS
    • EUROPEAN MARKETS
    • ASIAN MARKETS
    • U.S. MARKETS
    • COMMODITIES
    • EMERGING MARKETS
    • DEALS
    • RATES & BONDS
  • WORLD
    • UNITED STATES
    • EUROPE
    • UNITED KINGDOM
    • ASIA PACIFIC
    • MIDDLE EAST
    • AFRICA
    • CHINA
    • INDIA
    • JAPAN
    • AMERICAS
    • FRANCE
    • GERMANY
  • POLITICS
    • GOVERNMENT
    • UNITED STATES
    • US SUPREME COURT
  • TECH
    • ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE
    • CYBERSECURITY
    • SPACE
    • DISRUPTED
  • COMMENTARY
  • BREAKINGVIEWS
    • BREAKINGVIEWS PREDICTIONS
  • MONEY
    • WEALTH
    • FUNDS
    • ETFS
  • LIFE
    • LIFESTYLE
    • SPORTS
    • SCIENCE
  • SECTORS
    • ENERGY
    • HEALTHCARE
    • MEDIA & TELECOM
    • SUSTAINABILITY
    • ENVIRONMENT
    • RETAIL & CONSUMER
    • AUTOS & TRANSPORTATION
    • AEROSPACE AND DEFENSE
An All Progressives Congress (APC) supporter carries a book with a picture of presidential candidate of the APC, Bola Tinubu who was declared the winner of Nigeria's 2023 presidential election, in Abuja, Nigeria, March 1, 2023. REUTERS/Esa Alexander/File Photo
An All Progressives Congress (APC) supporter carries a book with a picture of presidential candidate of the APC, Bola Tinubu who was declared the winner of Nigeria's 2023 presidential election, in Abuja, Nigeria, March 1, 2023. REUTERS/Esa Alexander/File Photo
A view of an oil spill from a well head is pictured at Santa Barbara, in Nembe, Bayelsa, Nigeria, November 25, 2021. Picture taken November 25, 2021. REUTERS/Temilade Adelaja/File Photo
A view of an oil spill from a well head is pictured at Santa Barbara, in Nembe, Bayelsa, Nigeria, November 25, 2021. Picture taken November 25, 2021. REUTERS/Temilade Adelaja/File Photo
People crowd a market place as they shop in preparation for Christmas in Lagos, Nigeria December 18, 2021. Picture taken December 18, 2021. REUTERS/Temilade Adelaja/File Photo
People crowd a market place as they shop in preparation for Christmas in Lagos, Nigeria December 18, 2021. Picture taken December 18, 2021. REUTERS/Temilade Adelaja/File Photo
 An All Progressives Congress (APC) supporter carries a book with a picture of presidential candidate of the APC, Bola Tinubu who was declared the winner of Nigeria's 2023 presidential election, in Abuja, Nigeria, March 1, 2023. REUTERS/Esa Alexander/File Photo
An All Progressives Congress (APC) supporter carries a book with a picture of presidential candidate of the APC, Bola Tinubu who was declared the winner of Nigeria's 2023 presidential election, in Abuja, Nigeria, March 1, 2023. REUTERS/Esa Alexander/File Photo
Home
World
Africa

After inauguration fanfare, immense economic challenges await Nigeria's Tinubu

May 26th, 2023 | 10:20 AM WORLD Africa 4

Facebook Twitter Google+ LinkedIn Pinterest

Worth reading...

Tunisia opposition protests against president amid economic discontent
Cameroon president returns home after 10-week absence
Central African Republic closes informal gold mine after collapse kills at least 49
At least 50 killed, mostly children, as overloaded boat capsizes in Nigeria
By Libby George, MacDonald Dzirutwe

Nigeria's incoming President Bola Tinubu will inherit anaemic economic growth, record debt and shrinking oil output, but before he can start fixing these pressing problems he will need to secure public support for painful decisions.

Life is tough for citizens of Africa's biggest economy, and a tangle of protectionist economic policies and foreign currency interventions have spooked investors.

An attempt by Nigeria to reduce hugely expensive fuel subsidies a decade ago met with mass public protests and had to be dropped.

Tinubu, a member of President Muhammadu Buhari's All Progressives Congress, helped propel the outgoing president to power in 2015.

Now, businesses, international investors and citizens are hoping he can use his experience as governor of Lagos state to recharge Nigeria's struggling economy and finally confront its most difficult challenges.

IN DEBT, IN TROUBLE

Nigeria's debt has ballooned by nearly 60% since 2015, hitting $103 billion last year, according to the Debt Management Office. Its growth is outstripping GDP expansion, and the government has warned that once off-book loans from the central bank are added to the tally, it could hit 77 trillion naira ($167 billion).

While Nigeria's debt-to-GDP ratio is a modest 23.2%, compared with 60% in fellow oil producer Angola, experts say the portion of revenue needed to service the debt is alarming.

In January, ratings agency Moody's downgraded Nigeria, citing those figures. According to some calculations, debt servicing costs surpassed revenue last year.

Gregory Smith, emerging markets fund manager with M&G Investments said Nigeria's "shockingly low levels of government revenue" also raised questions around its ability to spend to boost growth.

"The debt pressures are symptomatic of that lack of government revenue," Smith said.

Increasing tax collection, Smith said, would be key for Tinubu.

OIL THEFT, SUBSIDIES

Some of the revenue troubles stem from rampant, industrial-scale theft that last year pressed oil output to its lowest in more than 30 years. Oil and gas typically fund half of Nigeria's budget and 90% of its foreign exchange. Continued theft, underinvestment and industrial disputes, hinder output.

On top of this, crippling fuel subsidies drain what is left from oil sales. Fitch Ratings estimates that the implicit petrol subsidy has cost the government approximately 2.4% of GDP in foregone revenue. Experts say taming the subsidy, and boosting oil output, are key.

"The market appears quite myopic in focusing on those two things in particular: the FX policy and the removal of fuel subsidies in addition to broader change at the CBN," said Yvette Babb of fund manager William Blair.

Buhari's government created a complicated web of official and parallel exchange rates in an effort to support the embattled naira. It also created a long list of items banned from using central bank foreign exchange.

Businesses say resulting widespread dollar shortages are crushing, while investors say the difficulty in getting money out of the country has strangled investment.

Smith and Babb said naira bonds, and investing locally, are virtually impossible as a result.

"The main thing is problems with being able to exit the market even if you felt like you could make a return," Smith said.

Government data showed that foreign direct investment dropped from $2.2 billion in 2014, the year before Buhari took office, to $468 million last year.

CHANGES ARE HARD SELL

Getting Nigerians to stomach painful reforms hinges on convincing them that they will make life better - and that will be a tough sell.

Inflation is at a nearly two-decade high, eating into savings and salaries. Unemployment is at a record 33%, prompting a punishing brain drain. Additionally, Tinubu's 8.79 million votes are the fewest won by a Nigerian president since the country returned to democracy in 1999, limiting his goodwill.

"He may need to demonstrate what he can deliver for the Nigerian people before he can take something away that is obviously reducing the cost of living for a large share of the population," Babb said of fuel subsidies. Allowing the naira to weaken, she added, also "comes at a cost."

($1 = 460.0000 naira)

  • Topic
  • Nigeria
  • ECONOMY/TINUBU (PIX, GRAPHIC)
Facebook Twitter Google+ LinkedIn Pinterest
Previous article Tunisia opposition protests against president amid economic discontent

Related Posts

Africa
August 20th, 2026

Tunisia opposition protests against president amid economic discontent

Africa
August 20th, 2026

Cameroon president returns home after 10-week absence

Africa
August 20th, 2026

Central African Republic closes informal gold mine after collapse kills ...

Africa
August 20th, 2026

At least 50 killed, mostly children, as overloaded boat capsizes in Nige...

Africa
August 20th, 2026

Egypt's central bank holds key interest rates unchanged

Africa
August 20th, 2026

Lufthansa's Discover Airline says jet fuel shortage affects flights from...

The Wire
Aug 21st 2 h ago
Science

China hunts for lunar ice in one of solar system's coldest ...

Aug 20th 2 h ago
Asia Pacific

Japan July core CPI rises 1.8% yr/yr

Aug 20th 2 h ago
Government

DOJ seeks to question FBI officials tied to search of Trump...

Aug 20th 2 h ago
Sports

Cowboys, Saints each fined $500K for brawling at joint prac...

Aug 20th 2 h ago
Asia Pacific

Japan's core inflation accelerates in July, bolsters case f...

TRENDING ON FINANCETIME
Aug 20th, 2026 United Kingdom

UK consumer confidence jumps to two-year high, GfK says

Aug 20th, 2026 India

Focus: AI reshapes India's IT services sector contracts as clients demand more for less

Aug 20th, 2026 China

China, Indonesia ministers meet on Friday, to discuss security and economic issues

Aug 20th, 2026 Government

Ex-Google engineer's conviction for stealing AI secrets partially overturned    

Aug 20th, 2026 Sports

NFL committees recommend approval of $9.6B Seahawks sale

Markets-Sectors
TECHNOLOGY -0.29%

  • BUSINESS
  • MARKETS
  • WORLD
  • POLITICS
  • TECH
  • COMMENTARY
  • BREAKINGVIEWS
  • MONEY
  • LIFE
  • SECTORS
  • Back to top
FinanceTime
FinanceTime

World Business & Financial News, Breaking US & International News

Additional Services
  • Privacy-Policy
  • Terms and Conditions
© Financetime.org 2026. All rights reserved. Hosted by LeadsDeposit.com
Produced by C-iT