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People walk outside the Bank of England in the City of London financial district in London, Britain May 11, 2023. Henry Nicholls
People walk outside the Bank of England in the City of London financial district in London, Britain May 11, 2023. Henry Nicholls
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UK firms plan lower price rises in next 12 months: BoE survey

June 1st, 2023 | 10:05 AM MARKETS European Markets 2

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By David Milliken

British businesses expect to raise both output prices and wages at a slower pace over the coming year than they did a month ago, according to a Bank of England survey released on Thursday which may ease policymakers' fears that high inflation will persist.

Companies surveyed in May intended to raise prices by 5.1% over the coming year, down from 5.9% in April's survey, the lowest since Russia's invasion of Ukraine in February 2022 and well below the rise of 7.6% recorded over the past 12 months.

Businesses planned to raise wages by 5.2% over the coming year, down from expectations of 5.4% in April and the lowest since July 2022.

BoE policymaker Catherine Mann said on Wednesday that Britain had a worse inflation problem than the United States or the euro zone, amid signs that high headline inflation may have created a persistent upward shift in underlying price- and wage-setting patterns.

Before the COVID-19 pandemic, businesses surveyed by the BoE typically reported plans to raise prices and wages by around 2-3% a year, close to the BoE's 2% inflation target.

The BoE has said it will raise interest rates above their current 4.5% level if inflation looks persistent, and since the release of higher-than-expected April inflation data last week, markets have bet that rates will peak at 5.5% later this year.

The BoE's Decision Maker Panel survey of 2,348 businesses took place between May 5 and May 19, before the latest inflation numbers which showed annual consumer price inflation dropped to 8.7% from 10.1%.

Businesses expected CPI to be 5.9% in a year's time, up from 5.6% in April's survey, and for inflation in three years' time to be 3.5%.

  • Topic
  • BRITAIN
  • BOE/INFLATION (UPDATE 1)
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