• BUSINESS
    • FINANCE
    • LEGAL
    • RETAIL & CONSUMER
    • AUTOS & TRANSPORTATION
    • HEALTHCARE & PHARMACEUTICALS
    • MEDIA & TELECOM
    • AEROSPACE AND DEFENSE
    • ENERGY
  • MARKETS
    • EUROPEAN MARKETS
    • ASIAN MARKETS
    • U.S. MARKETS
    • COMMODITIES
    • EMERGING MARKETS
    • DEALS
    • RATES & BONDS
  • WORLD
    • UNITED STATES
    • EUROPE
    • UNITED KINGDOM
    • ASIA PACIFIC
    • MIDDLE EAST
    • AFRICA
    • CHINA
    • INDIA
    • JAPAN
    • AMERICAS
    • FRANCE
    • GERMANY
  • POLITICS
    • GOVERNMENT
    • UNITED STATES
    • US SUPREME COURT
  • TECH
    • ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE
    • CYBERSECURITY
    • SPACE
    • DISRUPTED
  • COMMENTARY
  • BREAKINGVIEWS
    • BREAKINGVIEWS PREDICTIONS
  • MONEY
    • WEALTH
    • FUNDS
    • ETFS
  • LIFE
    • LIFESTYLE
    • SPORTS
    • SCIENCE
  • SECTORS
    • ENERGY
    • HEALTHCARE
    • MEDIA & TELECOM
    • SUSTAINABILITY
    • ENVIRONMENT
    • RETAIL & CONSUMER
    • AUTOS & TRANSPORTATION
    • AEROSPACE AND DEFENSE
FinanceTime
  • August 20th, 2026

FinanceTimeFinancetime

  • BUSINESS
    • FINANCE
    • LEGAL
    • RETAIL & CONSUMER
    • AUTOS & TRANSPORTATION
    • HEALTHCARE & PHARMACEUTICALS
    • MEDIA & TELECOM
    • AEROSPACE AND DEFENSE
    • ENERGY
  • MARKETS
    • EUROPEAN MARKETS
    • ASIAN MARKETS
    • U.S. MARKETS
    • COMMODITIES
    • EMERGING MARKETS
    • DEALS
    • RATES & BONDS
  • WORLD
    • UNITED STATES
    • EUROPE
    • UNITED KINGDOM
    • ASIA PACIFIC
    • MIDDLE EAST
    • AFRICA
    • CHINA
    • INDIA
    • JAPAN
    • AMERICAS
    • FRANCE
    • GERMANY
  • POLITICS
    • GOVERNMENT
    • UNITED STATES
    • US SUPREME COURT
  • TECH
    • ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE
    • CYBERSECURITY
    • SPACE
    • DISRUPTED
  • COMMENTARY
  • BREAKINGVIEWS
    • BREAKINGVIEWS PREDICTIONS
  • MONEY
    • WEALTH
    • FUNDS
    • ETFS
  • LIFE
    • LIFESTYLE
    • SPORTS
    • SCIENCE
  • SECTORS
    • ENERGY
    • HEALTHCARE
    • MEDIA & TELECOM
    • SUSTAINABILITY
    • ENVIRONMENT
    • RETAIL & CONSUMER
    • AUTOS & TRANSPORTATION
    • AEROSPACE AND DEFENSE
Signs reading "Prices cut" are seen on shelves at a supermarket in Nice, France, June 15, 2023. Eric Gaillard
Signs reading "Prices cut" are seen on shelves at a supermarket in Nice, France, June 15, 2023. Eric Gaillard
Home
Markets
European Markets

Stubborn euro zone inflation fails to settle ECB rate debate

August 31st, 2023 | 09:04 AM MARKETS European Markets 4

Facebook Twitter Google+ LinkedIn Pinterest

Worth reading...

European shares slip as oil prices and bond yields surge on Middle East fears
European shares tick higher as easing Fed hike bets lift gold
European shares on track to snap 4-week rally as US-Iran tensions lift oil
European shares inch up as lower crude offsets geopolitical unease
By Balazs Koranyi

Euro zone inflation proved unexpectedly stubborn this month although price pressures for underlying goods eased, providing ammunition for both supporters and opponents of another European Central Bank interest rate hike.

The ECB has raised rates at its fastest pace on record in the past year, taking them to a more than two-decade high. But with growth coming to a standstill and sentiment among businesses and households deteriorating quickly, debate is intensifying over how much more policy tightening is needed.

Overall inflation in the 20 countries sharing the euro was unchanged at 5.3% in August, defying expectations for a drop to 5.1% as energy costs rose sharply over the month, Eurostat data showed on Thursday.

But a key underlying measure that filters out volatile food and energy prices eased as expected to 5.3% from July's 5.5%, even as services inflation barely moved.

Such a mixed bag of data is unlikely to settle debate within the ECB, although it prompted financial markets to revise their view on the chance of a September rate hike to 33% from around 50% earlier this week. Market pricing indicates they still expect another hike this year, perhaps in October or December.

Robert Holzmann, Austria's central bank chief and one of the most outspoken conservatives on the rate-setting Governing Council, said he was still leaning towards a hike but did not consider the inflation data a clincher.

"I have not made up a decision because I don't have all the data, but I would not exclude that I would go for a hike," Holzmann told the Reuters Global Markets Forum.

"We are not yet at the highest level (for rates); it could be that we do another hike or two."

MIXED VIEWS

Economists' views were mixed, with few if any changing their already published calls.

"The upward pressure on underlying prices has thus continued to ease," Commerzbank economist Christoph Weil said. "We still do not expect the Governing Council to raise key rates further at its September meeting."

Others took the opposite view, with caveats.

"The latest inflation figures raise the probability of a new increase in interest rates in September," Diego Iscaro at S&P Global Market Intelligence said.

"However, this is far from a done deal, and a rapidly deteriorating economic background will still give doves in the ECB's Governing Council plenty of ammunition to argue for a pause."

All this suggests the ECB's debate will not be settled until policymakers are presented with new staff economic projections in the days leading up to the Sept. 14 meeting.

Supporters of a pause in tightening argue growth is now fading quickly, and that with little to drive a rebound, the bloc's economy, which has stagnated over the past three quarters, could even slip into recession.

But others say such a slowdown is desirable, especially if it were to shake out a very tight labour market, because underlying price pressures are far too high and could lead to inflation becoming stuck at above the ECB's 2% target.

Services inflation, which the ECB watches closely, only edged lower to 5.5% from 5.6% this month, while jobless figures released separately on Thursday showed unemployment holding at a record-low 6.4% in July.

ECB board member Isabel Schnabel, another policy hawk, argued that increasingly benign market pricing may be blunting the impact of the ECB's past policy moves and putting upward pressure on inflation.

"Real risk-free rates have declined across the maturity spectrum and are now back to the level observed at the February Governing Council meeting, as investors have revised their expectations for economic growth, inflation and monetary policy," Schnabel said in a speech in Frankfurt.

"This decline could counteract our efforts to bring inflation back to target in a timely manner."

  • Topic
  • EUROZONE
  • ECONOMY/INFLATION (WRAPUP 1, PIX)
Facebook Twitter Google+ LinkedIn Pinterest
Previous article European shares slip as oil prices and bond yields surge on Middle East fears

Related Posts

European Markets
August 18th, 2026

European shares slip as oil prices and bond yields surge on Middle East ...

European Markets
August 17th, 2026

European shares tick higher as easing Fed hike bets lift gold

European Markets
August 14th, 2026

European shares on track to snap 4-week rally as US-Iran tensions lift o...

European Markets
August 13th, 2026

European shares inch up as lower crude offsets geopolitical unease

European Markets
August 12th, 2026

European stocks steady ahead of US inflation data; geopolitical risks in...

European Markets
August 11th, 2026

European stocks pause near record highs as oil rally keeps investors cau...

The Wire
Aug 20th 3 h ago
Technology

China puts robocops on traffic duty, minus the arrest power...

Aug 20th 3 h ago
Soccer

Japan's Miura, 59, becomes oldest scorer in Emperor's Cup h...

Aug 20th 3 h ago
Environment

A decade after earthquake, Italy's Amatrice struggles to re...

Aug 20th 3 h ago
ROI: Reuters Open Interest

The Iran war energy crisis is just getting started

Aug 20th 4 h ago
Media & Telecom

'Baby Shark' boy returns to stage as a K-pop singer

TRENDING ON FINANCETIME
Aug 20th, 2026 Litigation

SK Hynix to pay 60% of employee bonuses in company stock under preliminary deal, says source

Aug 20th, 2026 Asia Pacific

Outsider who could decide New Zealand's next government wants to tax wealth, not work

Aug 20th, 2026 Business

Aegon raises share buyback plan to 350 million euros

Aug 20th, 2026 Africa

South Africa's Exxaro half-year profit down 20%, cuts dividend

Aug 20th, 2026 Cricket

Australia look for response to 'Darwin Disaster' in second Bangladesh test

Markets-Sectors
BASIC MATERIALS +1.43%
UTILITIES +0.00%

  • BUSINESS
  • MARKETS
  • WORLD
  • POLITICS
  • TECH
  • COMMENTARY
  • BREAKINGVIEWS
  • MONEY
  • LIFE
  • SECTORS
  • Back to top
FinanceTime
FinanceTime

World Business & Financial News, Breaking US & International News

Additional Services
  • Privacy-Policy
  • Terms and Conditions
© Financetime.org 2026. All rights reserved. Hosted by LeadsDeposit.com
Produced by C-iT