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The edge of a British one Pound coin in a photo illustration taken in Manchester, Britain, November 25, 2025. Phil Noble/Illustration
The edge of a British one Pound coin in a photo illustration taken in Manchester, Britain, November 25, 2025. Phil Noble/Illustration
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Sterling steadies near one-year high against euro

July 15th, 2026 | 10:35 AM WORLD United Kingdom 2

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UK economy hands Burnham surprise boost before first budget
Sterling extends rally on firm rate-hike bets, subdued dollar
UK service sector perks up in August, adding to resilience signs
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By Samuel Indyk

The British pound steadied against ​the dollar and held near its strongest level in over a year ‌versus the euro on Wednesday, supported by expectations for higher interest rates.

Other factors supporting the currency include an easing of domestic political uncertainty, resilient growth and record inbound takeover activity for British companies.

Investors also remain optimistic ​that Britain can forge closer ties with the European Union, ahead of a summit ​next week.

Against the euro, the pound was flat on the day at ⁠85.28 pence, close to its strongest level since June last year of 85.09 that was ​hit last week.

Sterling was also little changed against the dollar at $1.3391, having risen the day ​before after a soft U.S. inflation print weighed on the U.S. currency.

EYES ON BOE

The latest escalation of hostilities in the Middle East has prompted investors to add to bets for rate hikes from the Bank of England ​this year, given the expected impact on inflation from higher oil prices.

Money market traders ​are fully pricing in a hike by the November policy meeting, with a second rate hike priced in ‌by ⁠March 2027. Prior to the U.S.-Israeli war with Iran, investors had been expecting the BoE to lower interest rates twice this year.

"Relatively high interest rates are keeping sterling supported," said Chris Turner, head of global markets at ING.

"Maybe at the margin, the EU-UK summit can ​generate some modest sterling ​gains, so it's hard ⁠to call sterling lower for the time being."

POLITICS IN FOCUS

Andy Burnham is expected to be formally announced as Labour leader on Friday ​and officially named as prime minister on July 20, pushing focus ​on to his ⁠choice of finance minister given the nation's shaky public finances.

Britain's finance minister Rachel Reeves, who is likely to be replaced next week once Burnham becomes prime minister, has stressed the need for ⁠stability in ​the public finances.

Betting markets now place Foreign Secretary Yvette ​Cooper as the current favourite, usurping Ed Miliband, who is thought to favour more expansive fiscal policy.

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