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German Finance Minister Christian Lindner is pictured next to the recording light of a TV camera as he presents Germany’s new tax revenue estimates in Berlin, Germany, October 26, 2023.Liesa Johannssen
German Finance Minister Christian Lindner is pictured next to the recording light of a TV camera as he presents Germany’s new tax revenue estimates in Berlin, Germany, October 26, 2023.Liesa Johannssen
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Germany's budget shortfall rises to 13.5 bln euros, finmin says

October 24th, 2024 | 13:10 PM WORLD Europe 2

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By Kirsti Knolle, Maria Martinez

The projected shortfall in Germany's draft 2025 budget widened to 13.5 billion euros ($14.58 billion) from 12 billion euros as a result of the government's new economic and tax estimates, Finance Minister Christian Lindner said on Thursday.

Germany's council of tax experts expects 58.1 billion euros ($62.72 billion) less in total tax revenue in the 2024-2028 period compared with its May forecast, projections on Thursday showed, reflecting a further weakening of the economic outlook.

"There is no new room for manoeuvre in the budget. On the contrary: We will have to consolidate further," Lindner said in Washington, where he is attending the annual International Monetary Fund and World Bank meetings.

However, he said his intention was to bring next year's shortfall to 9.6 billion euros against spending of 489 billion euros. Lindner said he expected coalition negotiations, albeit challenging, to allow the budget to pass both houses of parliament by the end of the year as planned.

The cabinet approved the 2025 budget, which included a 12 billion euro deficit in the summer after months of wrangling, but left open the question how to reduce the gap between projected spending and revenue.

For the federal government alone, tax experts foresee 3.4 billion euros less in tax revenues this year than forecast in May and 12.6 billion euros less in the five-year period.

Due to the higher projected shortfall, the finance ministry has decided to make full use of an additional 5.4 billion euros in debt allowed under Germany's "debt brake" legislation that restricts government borrowing, but offers some some leeway during economic downturns.

"We cannot rely on the fact that tax revenues will keep flowing. We need economic growth," Lindner said.

The German government agreed on a package of 49 measures aimed at bolstering stuttering growth in Europe's biggest economy. The plans must be approved by the upper and lower houses of parliament later this year.

($1 = 0.9261 euros)

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