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Outgoing German Finance Minister Christian Lindner of the Free Democratic party (FDP) gives a statement at the Bundestag, Germany's lower house of parliament, after he was sacked by German Chancellor Olaf Scholz following a meeting with the heads of the so-called "Traffic Light Coalition" between the Social Democratic party (SPD), the Greens and Lindner's FDP in Berlin, Germany, November 6, 2024.   REUTERS/Lisi Niesner
Outgoing German Finance Minister Christian Lindner of the Free Democratic party (FDP) gives a statement at the Bundestag, Germany's lower house of parliament, after he was sacked by German Chancellor Olaf Scholz following a meeting with the heads of the so-called "Traffic Light Coalition" between the Social Democratic party (SPD), the Greens and Lindner's FDP in Berlin, Germany, November 6, 2024. REUTERS/Lisi Niesner
German Chancellor Olaf Scholz attends a media briefing at the Chancellery after sacking Finance Minister Christian Lindner following a meeting with the heads of the so-called "Traffic Light Coalition" of the Social Democratic Party (SPD), the Greens and Lindner's Free Democratic Party (FDP), in Berlin, Germany, November 6, 2024. REUTERS/Annegret Hilse
German Chancellor Olaf Scholz attends a media briefing at the Chancellery after sacking Finance Minister Christian Lindner following a meeting with the heads of the so-called "Traffic Light Coalition" of the Social Democratic Party (SPD), the Greens and Lindner's Free Democratic Party (FDP), in Berlin, Germany, November 6, 2024. REUTERS/Annegret Hilse
German Chancellor Olaf Scholz and Finance Minister Christian Lindner attend a bilateral working session with Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni (not pictured) at the Chancellery in Berlin, Germany, November 22, 2023. REUTERS/Fabrizio Bensch/File Photo
German Chancellor Olaf Scholz and Finance Minister Christian Lindner attend a bilateral working session with Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni (not pictured) at the Chancellery in Berlin, Germany, November 22, 2023. REUTERS/Fabrizio Bensch/File Photo
German Chancellor Olaf Scholz attends a media briefing at the Chancellery after sacking Finance Minister Christian Lindner following a meeting with the heads of the so-called "Traffic Light Coalition" of the Social Democratic Party (SPD), the Greens and Lindner's Free Democratic Party (FDP), in Berlin, Germany, November 6, 2024. REUTERS/Annegret Hilse
German Chancellor Olaf Scholz attends a media briefing at the Chancellery after sacking Finance Minister Christian Lindner following a meeting with the heads of the so-called "Traffic Light Coalition" of the Social Democratic Party (SPD), the Greens and Lindner's Free Democratic Party (FDP), in Berlin, Germany, November 6, 2024. REUTERS/Annegret Hilse
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Explainer: German coalition collapses: What comes next?

November 6th, 2024 | 22:44 PM WORLD Europe 2

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By Thomas Escritt

Germany's coalition collapsed on Wednesday as Chancellor Olaf Scholz sacked his finance minister and paved the way for a snap election, triggering political chaos in Europe's largest economy hours after Donald Trump won the U.S. presidential election.

After sacking Finance Minister Christian Lindner of the Free Democrats (FDP) party, Scholz is expected to head a minority government with his Social Democrats and the Greens, the second-largest party.

WHAT HAPPENS NOW?

Scholz said he would call a confidence motion in his government for Jan. 15, the necessary precursor to holding an election by the end of March.

Under rules created to prevent the kind of coalition chaos that hastened the end of Germany's interwar democracy, the chancellor largely controls the pace of events: the opposition can only push him out earlier if they can find a majority for a specific alternative chancellor, which would be challenging with current parliamentary arithmetic.

HOW WOULD SCHOLZ GOVERN UNTIL THE ELECTIONS?

The Greens, the second-largest party in the original three-way coalition, will stay in government. With no parliamentary majority of their own, they will need to cobble together ad hoc support for individual votes from other parties.

Scholz said he would ask Friedrich Merz, leader of the opposition conservatives, to support urgently-needed budgetary measures, saying Germany's crisis-stricken economy could not wait until after the elections for government action.

The four FDP ministers in the government - besides Lindner, the ministers of justice, transport and education - do not necessarily need to be replaced. The post of finance minister is named in the constitution, meaning Scholz must make an appointment.

Possibilities include his close adviser Wolfgang Schmidt, the minister in charge of Scholz's office, or Robert Habeck, who could assume the job alongside his current posts of Economy Minister and Vice-Chancellor. Scholz, himself a former finance minister, could also take on the post alongside his chancellorship.

WHAT CAN THE OPPOSITION DO?

Merz, who has long demanded early elections to replace a government he says has lost the ability to act, would then face a dilemma: refusing to help Scholz put together a budget could harm causes Merz backs strongly, such as supporting Ukraine.

Conversely, Merz, with a strong lead over all the coalition parties in the polls, might be reluctant to hand Scholz a win shortly before an election.

Merz plans to make a statement at 0845 local time (0745 GMT) on Thursday.

  • Topic
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  • POLITICS/COALITION COLLAPSE (EXPLAINER)
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