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Brazil's President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva attends a ceremony at the Planalto Palace in Brasilia, Brazil, August 6, 2026. Adriano Machado
Brazil's President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva attends a ceremony at the Planalto Palace in Brasilia, Brazil, August 6, 2026. Adriano Machado
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Lula's lead over Flavio Bolsonaro narrows in Brazilian election second-round, CNT/MDA poll shows

August 11th, 2026 | 14:25 PM WORLD Americas 1

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By Reuters

Brazil's President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva's ​advantage over Senator Flavio Bolsonaro in ‌a potential runoff ahead of October's general election narrowed, a CNT/MDA poll showed on Tuesday.

Lula ​would receive 48.0% of the ​votes in a runoff, compared with 39.1% ⁠for Flavio Bolsonaro, son of former ​President Jair Bolsonaro, according to the poll.

In ​a June survey, Lula was seen with 49.3% of the votes, and Bolsonaro with 36.8%.

In a ​first-round scenario, Lula would lead with ​42.4% of the votes, virtually unchanged from the ‌June ⁠survey, followed by Bolsonaro's 28.7%, Ronaldo Caiado's 4.0%, Romeu Zema's 3.3% and Renan Santos' 2.8%.

If no candidate wins more ​than 50% ​of valid ⁠votes in the first round, the two frontrunners advance to ​a runoff.

CNT/MDA interviewed 2,002 ​people ⁠from August 5 to 9 in 140 Brazilian municipalities. The survey's margin of error ⁠is ​2.2 percentage points in ​either direction.

  • Topic
  • Brazil
  • ELECTION/ (UPDATE 1, PIX)
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