A rescue operation is underway in China's equity markets with large and unusual flows into blue-chip funds suggesting a plunge by state-backed investors.
It is unclear exactly who is buying, or whether their pockets are deep enough to turn around the sliding market.
But analysts say the purchasing pattern points to the so-called "national team" of state-backed investors, several of whom have said recently they have turned buyers.
THE FLOW
More than $17 billion flowed to four Chinese-domiciled exchange traded funds tracking the CSI 300 index in the month to Jan. 26, S&P Global Market Intelligence found.
It found only the S&P 500 - a market eighteen times larger - has drawn greater inflows, receiving about $20 billion, and that no offshore CSI 300 tracker drew comparably heavy buying.
Goldman Sachs said last week's domestic ETF inflows were the biggest since 2015.
For example, assets under management (AUM) of the E Fund CSI300 Index ETF (510310.SS) jumped more than 70% this month alone to 81.6 billion yuan ($11.37 billion).
Heavy inflows were also seen in other big-cap ETFs such as Huatai-PB CSI300 ETF (510300.SS), ChinaAMC CSI 300 ETF (510050.SS) and Harvest CSI300 ETF (159919.SZ).
Meanwhile, foreign investors sold 18.2 billion yuan worth of China stocks via the cross-border Connect scheme in January, the sixth consecutive month of net selling.
WHY IT'S IMPORTANT
Signs of state-backed buying are the latest indication of increased official efforts to stem the decline and similar support in 2015 steadied markets - albeit temporarily.
THE CONTEXT
China's stockmarkets have been tanking. The CSI 300 (.CSI300) on Wednesday notched a record sixth straight monthly decline amid a gloomy outlook for real estate and the economy.
Goldman Sachs defines the "national team" as government-related entities that hold domestic equities on behalf of the state. It formed in response to a market crash in 2015 and includes investors such as Central Huijin and the China Securities Finance Corp.
MARKET VIEW
Analysts expect state-sanctioned stock buying can only do so much and fundamental problems such as oversupply and a lack of confidence in property ownership must be rectified to improve things.
However, the signal that authorities are taking the rout seriously may suggest that a floor has been reached.
"If the stock index pulls back further, the 'national team' may ramp up its buying scale to provide downside protection," said analysts at UBS.
($1 = 7.1788 Chinese yuan renminbi)
