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Anthropic logo, a keyboard and a robotic hand in this illustration taken June 5, 2026. Dado Ruvic/Illustration
Anthropic logo, a keyboard and a robotic hand in this illustration taken June 5, 2026. Dado Ruvic/Illustration
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Breakingviews

Anthropic’s M&A algorithm optimizes for margins

August 13th, 2026 | 19:11 PM COMMENTARY Breakingviews 2

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By Karen Kwok

Anthropic boss Dario Amodei is shopping with an accountant's eye. A potential $6 billion deal for Decart, as ​reported by Bloomberg, looks prosaic next to his AI rivals’ splashiest transactions. Yet the ‌startup’s claims to squeeze more useful output from chips and models, if it works, could be a big benefit for Anthropic’s growing server bill. It’s a sign that, as Amodei eyes an IPO, the chatbot battle is turning to ​ever-harder optimizations.

Decart, founded by Israeli brothers Dean and Orian Leitersdorf, is backed by investors including chipmaker ​Nvidia (NVDA.O) and venture capital firm Sequoia Capital. It was last valued at $4 billion ⁠in May. Even at the reported premium, this would be a smaller deal than OpenAI’s $6.5 billion purchase ​of iPhone designer Jony Ive’s startup io, and especially SpaceX’s (SPCX.O) $60 billion pounce on vibe-coding toolmaker Cursor. While ​both of those acquisitions are all about attracting customers - whether through fancy gadgets or handy software - Decart is just as much about efficiency.

At this stage of the race, with Anthropic's Claude Code tool turbocharging its revenue, Amodei has the luxury ​of focusing on optimizations. PitchBook analysts estimate the company's gross profit margin, after costs overwhelmingly comprised ​of compute and infrastructure, reached 44% in the second quarter. If revenue were to reach $100 billion this year, as investors ‌now ⁠expect according to the Financial Times, that would imply a bill of as much as $56 billion. A 10% efficiency gain would therefore save as much as $5.6 billion a year.

Cramming down costs becomes especially important if technical leadership begins to matter less to costumers. Data tracked by corporate expenses operator Ramp implies that Fable, ​Anthropic’s most advanced model, ​accounts for just 11% ⁠of business spend on the company’s products, with many more dollars spent on cheaper chatbots. As Meta Platforms (META.O) and SpaceX push cheaper alternatives, Anthropic may have ​a tough fight at the market's low end.

A $6 billion price would represent a ​big leap ⁠from Decart's valuation just three months ago. But computing costs are becoming, if anything, even more important in a world where customers are now trading off price and performance. This is a brutal form of competition, ⁠especially amid ​spiraling commitments to purchase server capacity. Amodei’s deal fancy might ​be acknowledging that reality.

Follow Karen Kwok on LinkedIn and X.

  • Topic
  • M&A/BREAKINGVIEWS
  • DECART
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